Jan / Feb / Mar 2000 Archive

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Slow EU demand expected for next two months Europe, Jan 07, 00
Activity in the European market is still limited this first week of 2000.One of the reasons is that most major buyers have covered their needs, just like in the States, well into March and April, and some even as far as June 2000. This means that they will not be in the position to make any major
purchases for the next 2 months. However there are some who still did not cover fully, thinking that the market might stay low at levels of USd 500-$550 for skipjack 1.8kg up.In the German market the sales of tuna have been quite good the last month of the year, and stocks levels said to be normal. German importers are now mainly concentrating on catering pack, since they have lost much of their retail volume to Star-Kist/Heinz, Saupiquet and Peche et Froid, who sell more and more direct to the chains. Contracts for catering pack tuna have been booked in mainly Philippines for spread shipments up to April at very low prices. These containers will continue to come in, and most of them will be delivered straight to customers, thus no real increase in stock levels is to be expected. In the U.K. market sales also seem to have been quite good the last two months. Here super-markets have covered themselves in Thailand, and in ACP countries, well in April at low prices, and will be quiet for the next 2-3 months at least.Benelux and Scandinavia show pretty much the same picture, with retail buyers covered for at least the first three months of the year at very low prices, most coming from ACP countries.

Buyers take wait-n-see position Europe, Jan 07, 00
Expectation for canned tuna is that the buying activity from Europe will remain low for the next 2 months. Many buyers are confident and do not expect rising prices of raw material to hold at $700 or to rise further. General view is that due to limited buying interest, there will be again a weakening of skipjack prices second half of February 2000 to a level of abt USd 600 per m/t. Buyers take a wait-n-see position.

Attractive Tuna Prices from Ecuador Ecuador, Jan 07, 00
..against the USDollar (recently another 8,7%) . The recent outburst of the vulcano the Guagua Pinchincha close to the Quito Airport is making the situation even worse for exporters.
The exchange rate of the Sucre in combination with the low wages, have made tuna prices from Ecuador exteremely attractive. Fisherman are in need of money badly and local traders are eager to receive hard currency (US Dollars) for exported product, and ready to sell at very attractive prices. This in combination with very good catches of the coast of Ecuador is having a depressing effect on the prices on the world market for frozen tuna. Traders are shipping large amounts of frozen skipjack from Ecuador and Colombia to the Far East.

Still good catches in Philippines and PNG Philippines, Jan 07, 00
- So far as we can tell, there is still quite ample supply of fish which can be caught around the Philippines and PNG. Fish hasn't disappeared nor has there been any indication of their disappearance. However, catching activities have indeed declined. Taiwanese catchers are said to have cut their operating fleets activity by 50%, while Americans are almost not catching now. Philippine catchers however (except for fresh fish catchers) are still operating.

Raw Material Price Philippines, Jan 07, 00
Above reason has prompted prices of raw materials to continue its rise. It is now at $600 for whole frozen skipjack (abt 1.8 kg)landed in GS, from last time we reported $550. If a buyer in Thailand would like to book from a Philippine catcher, they'd have to add between $70-100 per MT for the ocean freight to Bangkok. This would explain current Thai bids of around $670 (while suppliers would want $700). Another reason we can see for this rise in prices is the "intervention" of several global frozen tuna traders. Even if the "real price" of fish is only around $550, they buy it at $600(prompting catchers to ask for $600 also from the packers here). Then these fish traders approach Thai packers and try to sell it at $700. This goes on and causes a spiraling artificial price increase. It is our belief that this may go on until it hits $750 in Mar-Apr (in General Santos).

Finished Products Philippines, Jan 07, 00
Canned Tuna packers are still at at loss as to where to gauge their selling prices. Hence, their much hesitance to offer and sell. They are just mostly occupied shipping out and producing their earlier contracts.

Economic situation Philippines, Jan 07, 00
- Due to "in-fighting" among members of President Estrada's cabinet, there might be some changes in his cabinet. This of course has affected the economic scene. Stock market has become shaky (after a good year-end '99 and a good start for a few days of '00). Peso also depreciated (it's being rumored to hit P41/$ soon, even though the first 2 days of the year saw it below $40) likely due to this political unrest.

Limited Tuna Activity due to Moslim holidays Indonesia, Jan 07, 00
Most of the tuna catching activity in Indonesia is on hold due the Ramadhan holidays. The canned tuna production activity should resume only by Jan 17th 2000 and as far as the fishing fleets are concerned we will have to wait even some days more ,say Jan 22 or jan 23 to get some realistic feed back .Most of the packers here will welcome the idea of prices going back ( at least!) to USd 650 or USd 700 ,like it is said in Thailand and they will most probably set their price indication at that level as soon as they start offering, to stay on the safe side. But again it is still too early to speculate on what would be the catching itself by the end of January.

Limited US demand expected in Januari Indonesia, Jan 07, 00
On the buying side most of the big U.S importers have covered in October and November their current needs for the first quarter of y2k while the single duty quota was absorbed within no time. One could expect hardly any buying or at least limited trades for January as most of USA importers are on a hold mode.

Tensions in Ambon could effect tuna supply Indonesia, Jan 07, 00
Situation is quiet on the political front during the Muslims holidays .However the tension between confessional communities in Ambon have now reached a national dimension with the direct involvement of the vice president(Mega wati) who came under fire by the media and some Muslim groups.Ambon by its location, is a big fishing center and the recent tension will definitely impact local production of some species but should not have any consequence on the tuna fishing operation themselves or the canneries in general which are located on the other islands of the archipelago.

Limited Fishing Activity Continues Philippines, Jan 14, 00
Catching activities still not at full-blast. American and Taiwanese catchers are still said to be not utilizing all their fleets at the moment. With the "fresh fish" catchers enjoying their fiesta in General Santos, fresh fish catch has been very limited, at least until the end of the month. Also strong weather in the western Pacific and less fishing of PNG has been named as a cause of lower fishing activity.

These, together with aggressive buying of "fish traders" have helped push the price of raw materials in General Santos. Fish catchers are quoting at $600+ landed levels (as $680-700 CF deals have been made in Thailand). There are reports that a major fishing company has sold over 1000 m/t to a major Japanese trading house at USD 700 CF for 1.8 kg skipjack fish.

Packers offer speculative at high levels Philippines, Jan 14, 00
Packers are now mostly relying on the delivery of their "previously contracted low-priced fish" to produce their "low-priced contracts". Packers here are very hesitant to buy raw materials at current prices as the market for finished goods is very slow in "reacting" to the situation of raw materials. Hence, there is that notable absence in offers for finished goods. Like buyers, the packers are also taking a wait-and-see attitude. Of course there are others who are giving out speculative prices which are understandably very high.

Philippine Tuna industry studying federation Philippines, Jan 14, 00
Meantime, the packers and the fish catchers of General Santos are trying to form a "federation" aimed at supporting each other and the industry as a whole. The federation has been formed but many issues have still to be discussed and ironed-out. As you may know, packers here have always expressed disapproval on the fish catchers' export of raw material instead of prioritizing local canners. On the other hand, fish catchers here have always expressed disapproval of the canners' import of raw materials. It is hoped that the federation will help make a mutually beneficial guideline to each others' activities. It is also believed that this federation will be able to get government's support

In BKK Traders claim no fish - Reality seems different Thailand, Jan 14, 00
The current situation in Bangkok is very confusing at moment: The 3 major fish brokers are declining offer to people, claiming that there is no fish and trying to delay the delivery, but hint to people if $700 is accepted, then there will be some delivery. Furthermore, from time to time, a submarine landed at Bangkok and/or Songkla with full capacity loading with tuna, which was not pre-sold and looking for a home. A few day ago, there was an unknown carrier landed at Bangkok port (which is not listed on the expected arrival vessels), which was found out later that it was owned by a major American trader. This whole lot was finally re-routed to Thailand's major canned tuna packer. With this incident, it could not be justified that there is no fish, as they are claiming.But it is a fact that the catching during December was slowed down. EU boats returned to shore for the end year festival, while some Asian flags were on dry docking.Now the situation is changed, the EU boats will start sailing again, as well as in the Eastern-Pacific (no more quota ban). With the catching resuming, the landing will be coming back in a week or two.Also considering that the catching in both Indonesia & the Philippines are reported to be good.

Limited outlet possibilities for Thai Packers Thailand, Jan 14, 00
As aware, the Thai Tuna is almost out from the EU market, due to the 24/25% import duty they face. (African + S-American canners have duty free access). The Australian market is covered and the potential of the Middle East market is not big enough to absorb the capacity out here. The only market left for the Thai canned tuna packers is Northern America, mostly the U.S.A. The single duty quota in the States this year was filled within almost one working day. So one can imagine the inventory situation there in the States. It is our impression that all food-chains have been covered till at least the end of April, some are even covered as far as June/July. It is rumored that the 3 major US domestic packers are stuck with at least 3-4 months stock. With this high supply situation, there will be absolutely no real interest by USA importers, caterers or retailers to cover anything at this moment. The current unclear situation, and the heavy suffering of some during 1999, will make that most buyers will be more conservative this year on the position taking.

Thai packers support skipjack price rise Thailand, Jan 14, 00
Like most parties involved in the canned tuna business Thai packers want the prices to go up badly. However good supply and steady competition from Indonesia and Philippines prevent that. It is hard for the Thai packers alone to raise up the price.We wonder that how long the Thai packers, (especially the few major packers, who are paying the price of USd 600 up at the moment) can continue to make losses by paying such high price fish, in order to support the fishermen & the fish brokers.It is currently very hard to obtain any quotations from the Thai packers, who remain very insecure about future raw material developments.

Yellowfin catching slows down  Thailand, Jan 14, 00
The catching has slowed down, the proportion caught mixed with skipjack is decreasing from 40/50% to 15/20%. This causes panic with the EU packers, as well as the Japanese. Prices for segregated fish are reported as high as $1100, while the mixed fish (skj/yf)is up to $850 p. MT. No immediate change expected, however, much will depend on the coming catching in E. Pacific, which we will know in next couple weeks.

Tongol catch resumes Thailand, Jan 14, 00
Catching is to resume in Thailand, more fish are landed daily at the fish markets, but price is still rather high (around THB27/kg). However, it is definitely expected to soften shortly.

Albacore prices firm Thailand, Jan 14, 00
The current market is still quite firm, however, the NZ catching to resume, we can foresee the weakness of price in Feb onward, when approaching the peak in NZ.

Slow EU demand expected for next two months Europe, Jan 16, 00 (follow up of Jan 07, 00)
Activity in the European market is still limited this two weeks of 2000.One of the reasons is that most major buyers have covered their needs, just like in the States, well into March and April, and some even as far as June 2000. This means that they will not be in the position to make any major purchases for the next 2 months. However there are some who still did not cover fully, thinking that the market might stay low at levels of USd 500-$550 for skipjack 1.8kg up.In the German market the sales of tuna have been quite good the last month of the year, and stocks levels said to be normal. German importers are now mainly concentrating on catering pack, since they have lost much of their retail volume to Star-Kist/Heinz, Saupiquet and Peche et Froid, who sell more and more direct to the chains. Contracts for catering pack tuna have been booked in mainly Philippines for spread shipments up to April at very low prices. These containers will continue to come in, and most of them will be delivered straight to customers, thus no real increase in stock levels is to be expected. In the U.K. market sales also seem to have been quite good the last two months. Here super-markets have covered themselves in Thailand, and in ACP countries, well into April at low prices, and will be quiet for the next 2-3 months at least. Benelux and Scandinavia show pretty much the same picture, with retail buyers covered for at least the first three months of the year at very low prices, most coming from ACP countries.

Second hand trading activity increases Europe, Jan 16, 00
Expectation for canned tuna is that the buying activity from Europe will remain low for the next 2 months. Many buyers are confident and do not expect rising prices of raw material to hold at $700 or to rise further. General view is that due to limited buying interest, there will be again a weakening of skipjack prices second half of February 2000 to a level of abt USd 600 per m/t. On the other hand importers/traders who have taken speculative positions in November '99 at very attractive levels for shipments up to end of February have already started cashing in on their position. This has lead to an increase in second- hand trading of canned tuna. It can therefore be expected that in those markets where brand loyalty is of less importance, second hand prices mightl become more attractive then prices from origin for the next 1-2 months. This mostly concerns trading in 66,5 oz catering packs.

Skipjack prices stabilize Thailand, Jan 26, 00
The rise in skipjack the raw material prices in Bangkok seems to have stalled, and to have reached a dead-lock. Price has stabilized at Us$ 670 / 680 during the past week. Packers have refrained from bidding at higher levels, even though some frozen tuna traders were trying to reach prices as high as US$ 750 p. M/T. The fact that the finished products market is not willing to accept higher prices plays an important role in this process. The major Japanese fish traders who was reported as buying a large tonnage of frozen skipjack at USD 700 CF BKK, now seems eager to sell, and is chasing canned tuna packers for bids.

Although there is still limited insight on catches in Western and Eastern Pacific, the market reports good catches in all oceans, no details given. The three major Thai packers seem to have their coldstorages still quite full with low priced fish, and although they would like the frozen skipjack prices to go up, they do not have enough buying power at the moment to do so.

Thai Packers are still holding back their offers. But it could be that the price rises may be ended for the moment and that packers will start to feel confident enough to start offering again. This could also spark demand

Taiwanese fishing increases after Chinese New Year Thailand, Jan 26, 00
The Taiwanese fleet which has been in the harbor for maintenance and dry-docking for some time, following an agreement between fishing companies, seem to be ready to hit the oceans again. After Chinese New Year (Feb 7th) they will gear up their fishing efforts again full capacity. This will likely lead to more tuna coming to harbor towards the end of February, of which the majority will be frozen skipjack.

Packers become more confident to bid down Thailand, Jan 26, 00
With the above trends going on, we should not be surprised to see canned tuna packers to try to bid the current prices down to a level of US$ 600 p. M/T. It is felt that in the current situation deals at US$ 650 p. M/T might be within reach. the coming two weeks will learn us more !

Tongol & yellowfin catch stable Thailand, Jan 26, 00
Catching in Thailand has resumed price is till around THB27/kg. The expected softening of the market has not taken place. Yellowfin has is also quite stable.

Albacore prices firm Thailand, Jan 26, 00
The  market has been quite firm, but now seems to show some signs of softening. We have not been able to get any real details at this moment, but will keep you posted .

Some packers take a break Philippines, Feb 01, 00
This last week saw packers trying to catch fish suppliers by bidding at $650-670 levels, but some seem to be willing to accept at US$ 700, or just below. Whereas 2 weeks ago Philippine packers were trying to bid below $600 for skipjack 1.8kg, This change has been brought about by the fact that packers are short of fish, which they can use in order to continuously run their plants. The last week at least 3 plants were not operating on a daily basis due to lack of skipjack supply.

Fish catchers speculate on higher prices Philippines, Feb 01, 00
One major fish catcher in General Santos reportedly has 3,000 MT of raw material in stock which he doesn't want to unload at the moment, thinking that prices will continue to firm up to $700+ levels. He recently sold about 900 MT (actually left-overs from the lots he sold to fish traders recently). Many packers were desperately trying to get this 900 MT.Bidding started below $600 levels but continued to intensify until finally was sold at $670. This scenario may continue unless other fish suppliers/catchers are able to report good catch and unload to packers. At the moment, other fish suppliers/catchers have nothing in stock.

Fresh catchers face rough weather Philippines, Feb 01, 00
Around General Santos fishing efforts are still limited due to part of the fleet being still in harbor for the Santo Nino festival. It remains to be seen what the catches will be once they operate full capacity, and more vessels return from the fishing ground.Fresh fish catchers (smaller vessels) especially are said to have limited catching due to rough waters.

Slow catch - North of PNG  Philippines, Feb 01, 00
Also Taiwanese Fishermen report that fishing in the Western Pacific are slow, this being caused by very bad weather. These circumstances have especially affected fishing efforts North of the Equator, North of PNG. Also fleets operating in the Indonesian waters are experiencing this situation.

Yellowfin tight - high prices Philippines, Feb 01, 00
At $700 raw material, packers are likely to quote at $21.00-22.00 for 66.5oz skj US packs. Yellowfin supply is likewise very tight and the demand has made packers quote at $24.00-25.00 for 66.5oz US packs. This is partly caused by the lesser catches, but also by the higher prices paid by European packers in Spain and Italy. Meantime, many packers are also in a dilemma as how to produce their "low-priced" contracts entered into late last year, with the current high price of raw material.

Price expected to rise to $725-$750 for skipjack Philippines, Feb 01, 00
In all fishermen feel confident that the price will rise for the next 2-3 weeks and are aiming to get a price of USD 750 for 1.8 kg frozen skipjack landed. They feel supported by the fact that in the Indian Ocean catches are also disappointing with a very high ratio of yellowfin (70%), and a relatively small amount of skipjack. Which means vessels will be likely to sell to European buyers.

Wargames started Philippines, Feb 01, 00
On the national scene, amid loud protests from various sectors, top state and defense officials from the Philippines and the U.S. formally opened Balikatan 2000, a series of joint military exercises under the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA). About 4,700 Filipino and American servicemen are set to participate in the war games from Jan 31 to Mar 3 (which include live firing, cross-training, amphibious operations and civic programs). This will be the biggest military exercise since 1995. Meanwhile, some senators are questioning the legality and constitutionality of the VFA (which is still being reviewed by the Supreme Court), hence the military exercises should be suspended according to them.

Packers fear possible shortage Ecuador, Feb 04, 00
Trading activity is at his lowest due to the proximity of the Chinese new year celebration. Reports from fishing companies indicate the price for skipjack in Jakarta is   between usd 730 and usd 600 p. M/T depending on the quality, and size of the fish. Some packers fear a possible shortage for raw material but it is difficult to identify whether it is a direct consequence from the holidays or just the level of fish catching itself . The answer should be known next week.

Albacore remains scarce Ecuador, Feb 04, 00
Albacore is still scarce due to poor catching in Bali and Jakarta, it is being offered IDR14500 which is slightly lower than the beginning of the year. The present exchange rate (Idr vs Usd :7550) should now allow packers to sell their products cheaper. It is expected that the landings should resume by March.

Fishing licenses up for renegociation Ecuador, Feb 04, 00
It is said most of the fishing licenses have expired last month and are being renegotiated between the fishing companies and government officials. A situation which could create upward pressure on prices, if this process of renewal of licenses was being delayed . This may be one of the reasons why Indonesia largest operating packer (in Bitung) is still not offering at all

Coup seems unlikely Ecuador, Feb 04, 00
On the political front the whole attention focuses on the stand-off between the new elected president and the Key military man: General Wiranto . Rumors of a possible coup, though very unlikely, keep the attention of the whole business community.

Limited buying activity importers Europe, Feb 06, 00
European importers resist higher prices being quoted by canned tuna packers. This has lead to a continued limited interest by buyers at the new continuously rising tuna prices. The reasons is two-fold, on one hand buyers are fairly well covered on canned tuna for shipments up to end of March 2000, on the other hand they have a hard time accepting the rapidly increasing prices.

Resistance to accept higher prices Europe, Feb 06, 00
The resistance to accept higher prices, being based on a raw material price of USD 650- $680 p. M/T, is because many importers believe that there is a chance that prices might still  return during the course of February to  lower price level close to USD 600 for 1.8kg skipjack.  With still many containers to be shipped (and even to be produced), and demand  being at a normal level, there is no immediate need to buy for shipments close-by.. On the other hand packers, who have all sold long at cut-throat prices, are also not ready to sell long term anymore.

Pizzeria's get the best deals ever Europe, Feb 06, 00
The tuna market at retail and wholesale level is now really in the stage of reaching it's lowest level. Never before in the history of canned tuna have there been such low prices being offered to the pizzeria and the consumer. Tuna which has been bought in November and December at lowest-ever prices at still favorable ex-change rates is hitting the shelves. Since most wholesalers and retailers have taken in more stocks and contracts then they can actually absorb, there is a strong pressure to sell  bigger volumes fast. So many promotions in all sectors can be expected, thus to prevent high financing and stocking charges. This situation has led already to the fact that an European pizzeria in many countries is able to buy ten cases, delivered to his door at almost the same unit price a case  of tuna by the truckload is offered ex-stock Hamburg.

Generic label buyers will benefit most Europe, Feb 06, 00
With stocks of incoming product in wholesalers and retailers warehouses building up, also a stagnation can be expected in sales by the European importers of their unsold stocks. When tuna prices will continue to rise at origin, there will be a big gap created between prices available from the canneries and in their final markets. This could lead to a very interesting situation in which second hand prices will become much more competitive (as much 10% lower) then directly from origin, and at the same time demand at origin might continue to stay low. Those not limited to buying product under their own brand, or any preferred brand, will be likely to benefit most.

Strong Dollar handicap for Far East packers Europe, Feb 06, 00
In the past few years it has been proven that  the strengthening of the US dollar creates a much better business climate for African based tuna canneries, who offer in France francs. Packers from Ivory Coast, Madagascar, and Senegal have seen their competitive position improve by abt 10% over the last few weeks, due to the weakening of the currency alone. This currency advantage combined with the duty free access into the E.U. make it almost impossible or Thai, Indonesian and Philippine packers to beat them in the consumer pack arena on price.

Skipjack prices still stable at US$ 680-$700 Thailand, Feb 07, 00
The rise in skipjack the raw material prices in Bangkok seems to have stalled, and to have reached a dead-lock. Price has stabilized between U$$ 680 and US$ 700. Packers have refrained from bidding at higher levels, even though some frozen tuna traders were trying to reach prices as high as US$ 750 p. M/T. The fact that the finished products market is not willing to accept higher prices plays an important role in this process. Even the efforts of one major canned tuna producer to push the price up has been fruitless. The major Japanese fish traders who was reported as buying a large tonnage of frozen skipjack at USD 700 CF BKK, now seems eager to sell, and is chasing canned tuna packers for bids.

Although there is still limited insight on catches in Western and Eastern Pacific, the market reports good catches in all oceans, no details given. The three major Thai packers seem to have their coldstorages still quite full with low priced fish, and although they would like the frozen skipjack prices to go up, they do not have enough buying power at the moment to do so.

Due to the ongoing festivities thai tuna packers are still holding back their offers and most factories will be closed till the end of this week. Next week we expect to see signs of packers offering again, testing the water.

Taiwanese fishing resumed at full capacity Thailand, Feb 07, 00
The Taiwanese fleet which has been in the harbor for maintenance and dry-docking now for some time, following an agreement between fishing companies, are ready to hit the oceans again. Now that Chinese new Year festivities will end this week , they will gear up their fishing efforts again full capacity. This will likely lead to more tuna coming to harbor towards the end of February/ beginning of March.The the majority of their catch will be frozen skipjack from the Western Pacific, the world's major skipjack resource.

Packers become more confident to bid down Thailand, Feb 07, 00
Now that taiwanese fishing has resumed, we should not be surprised to see canned tuna packers again try to bid the current prices down to a level of US$ 650 p. M/T. It is felt that in the current situation deals at US$ 650 p. M/T could  be within reach. We should have a clearer picture by Mid February.

Tongol & yellowfin catch stable Thailand, Feb 07, 00
Catching in Thailand has resumed price is till around THB27/kg. The expected softening of the market has not taken place. Yellowfin is also quite stable.

G.S Canneries reduce capacity Philippines, Feb 08, 00
General Santos prices have risen again this week since last reported. One fish catcher is asking $780/MT for skipjack, while some packers have alreadymaking bids at $700 for a limited volume, only to keep their plants running. Two canneries in General Santos have been inactive for several weeks now due to lack of fish, and possible more could follow. Other canneries have reduced their production volumes to 30-40 MT daily (the normal capacities of a cannery in General Santos is between 70-120 MT daily). This reduction is due to the fact that no packer wants to buy raw material at $700 levels while market prices for finished goods is still very low (those that do buy at $670+ levels only do so for a small volume). This is compounded by the very limited catch in fresh fish which is very expensive as well.  Talking to fisherman in G.S harbour, the word is that catching is not too good at the moment.

Some packers feeling the pressure Philippines, Feb 08, 00
The problem packers are facing in their negociations for raw tuna is that the fish catchers are aware of the position of packers who have booked many long term contracts at low prices, and are not all fully covered on their raw material needs. We estimate that in G.S alone combined packers have still a quantity of about 400 containers of canned tuna to be shipped in the next to 2-3 months. Most of them have been able to cover a great part their position by renting extra cold-storage capacity. Packers who have not covered entirely, are now really with their backs against the wall.  Due to this situation some have not not been buying, hoping for a turn of the market, and have even been   shutting down their plants. With these rising prices they might eventually face a very difficult position, in which they are forced to ship, but cannot find the fish (at the right price) to serve their commitments. When prices will not start to relax in the next two weeks, the pressure on some packers from buyers side will grow. It might be the interest of many buyers to have their shipments delayed. This way they obtain a wider spread on their long term contracts.

Fresh fish very expensive Philippines, Feb 08, 00
Thisis compounded by the very limited catch in fresh fish which is very expensive as well. This is the result of the prices the local consumer market is willing to pay right now  It is also being said that catching in coastal waters seems to be not too good at the moment. One major fish catcher in General Santos still has considerable raw material in stock which he doesn't want to unload at the moment, thinking that prices will continue to firm up.

No competive tuna offers available Philippines, Feb 08, 00
Due to the above , producers are refraining from offering as much as possible. When they do they base themselves on a skipjack price of USd 700 or even higher. Buyers tend not to take these prices seriously, since there is no demand at these levels !

Slow catch - North of PNG Philippines, Feb 08, 00
Also Taiwanese Fishermen report that fishing in the Western Pacific are slow, this being caused by very bad weather. These circumstances have especially affected fishing efforts North of the Equator, North of PNG. Also fleets operating in the Indonesian waters are experiencing this situation.

Yellowfin tight - high prices Philippines, Feb 08, 00
At $700 raw material, packers are likely to quote at $21.00-22.00 for 66.5oz skj US packs. Yellowfin supply is likewise very tight and the demand has made packers quote at $24.00-25.00 for 66.5oz US packs. This is partly caused by the lesser catches, but also by the higher prices paid by European packers in Spain and Italy. Meantime, many packers are also in a dilemma as how to produce their "low-priced" contracts entered into late last year, with the current high price of raw material..

7th oil price hike in one year Philippines, Feb 08, 00
On the national scene, the week has seen several demonstrations due to the recent oil price hike, the 7th in the past 11 months. Students and other sectors have staged rallies in front of oil firms' offices in Metro Manila to show their protest. Transport groups are also threatening to hold strikes which will paralyze public transportation. Meantime, oil firms claim the increase is still not enough and they may still increase their prices before the middle of the year. It is being feared that this recent oil price hike (and the one still to come) will result in increased prices of basic commodities, and also further increase overheads for the fishing fleet

Prices climb steadily Philippines, Feb 14, 00
Bad weather circumstances and disappointing catches, are the cause that the expected softening of raw material prices in General Santos have not materialized yet. Fresh fish catchers are now asking no lower than US$ 750 M/T for 1.8kg skipjack. The fishermen are still quite confident that the price of skipjack tun will not go down. Fishing companies are already sending the message to the tuna packers that they will only unload their vessels in the next two weeks in General Santos, if they will get US$ 750 M/T, otherwise they will move the fish elsewhere.

Sellers hold on to frozen stock  Philippines, Feb 14, 00
In light of the catching situation, one of the fishing companies in G.S. which has been holding a big stock of frozen skipjack in coldstorage, remains firm on its price. They are showing confidence in rising prices by refusing to sell anything below US$ 750 delivered at the tuna cannery.  The limited fresh/chilled skipjack supply, usually caught by small boats in the coastal region, is keeping the daily fresh fish market prices up. The prices being paid for the domestic fresh consumption are currently somewhat lower then the frozen fish. But supply is very limited, fish size and yields are small, and their is no possibility to make firm price contracts. It makes the packers more dependent of the frozen tunafish, supplied by the larger operators. This fact only confirms to fish traders that prices of USd 750 are a realistic level, given the supply situation.

Major canning group searches investors  Philippines, Feb 14, 00
Rumors in the market are strengthening that the major Philippine tuna canning group with factories in Manila and G.S., is actively negotiating with new investors about a possible capital infusion, or even a full take-over. These rumors are not new, and critics have been saying for years that there is no way that in the current market a large tuna corporation in the Philippines could hold out long. However again and again the management of this group has proven to be able keep the company running. Sources say that very recently negotiations between several parties have been going on, without any result. It is said however that now a serious, highly respected food company has been engaged in serious negotiations. The need to look for outside investors has most likely been caused by the very bad past year in the tuna business.

Packers continue to run low volume Philippines, Feb 14, 00
This current raw material situation has prompted packers to run at low production volumes, even though some still have  enough commitments still to be shipped. A few plants are not even running at a daily basis due to the tight raw material supply, and the lack of any buying interest of finished product at realistic levels. Packers are just accepting very limited orders to make their plants running and the cash flowing.

Manila Stock Exchange snaps back  Philippines, Feb 14, 00
The main index at the Philippine Stock Exchange snapped back after a six-day losing streak. However no reason for great  optimism say analysts. There is hardly any buying interest. This is partly blamed on the controversy involving the in-side trading on BW resources, which has been run by friends of President Estrada.

Catches reported consistent Indonesia, Feb 14, 00
Still not much trading activity to report from this part of the world. Catches are said to be consistent. But the local demand and packers are reluctant to acquire raw material at the current prices. This is being caused by the persistency from U.S and European importers to wait for better days. Price of skipjack in Jakarta is still oscillating between usd 525 to usd 725 FOB depending on the quality and size of the fish. Anyway this is not a stable basis for tuna packers to work on. The tendency upwards holds them back for the time being

Tribal wars strike major processor Indonesia, Feb 14, 00
Tribal fighting in Sorong have forced a factory to discontinue its operation but fishing at least in this area should not be affected . A major Indonesian Group, national leader in fish processing and catching in the eastern part of Indonesia, has admitted the one-year religious conflict in Ambon had a disastrous impact on its frozen and canned operation . This has also been reflected in a dramatic drop of their stock at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. Their canneries are located in Pt. Biak, Sorong, Irian Jaya and some other islands in the Indonesian archipelo. They operate several larger purse seiners as well. Market is watching how this big company will cope with this difficult situation, and what the final impact will be on its financial position.

Bitung canneries feel competition from Phil. Indonesia, Feb 14, 00
Canneries in Bitung, which is a big production center for light meat tuna, are complaining about the competition from General Santos(Philippines) based packers, who apparently have to go that far to find the raw material they cannot get in G.S at competitive prices.

Albacore + tongol supply limited Indonesia, Feb 14, 00
Tongol and albacore are only available on small quantities basis due to poor catching in Bali and Jakarta, it is being offered IDR14500 which is slightly lower than the beginning of the year. The present exchange rate (Idr vs Usd :7550) should now allow packers to sell their products cheaper. It is expected that the landings should resume by March.

Political powerplay worries investors Indonesia, Feb 14, 00
The hard tone that President Wahid expressed during a recent U.N meeting in Bangkok, regarding his insistence on the stepping down of the powerful military leader of Indonesia General Wiranto, creates the fear of a possible confrontation between the military and the new government. Investors and also tuna producers are following the political tension closely, since the possibility of a military coup can not be ruled out entirely.

Tuna resuming after Moslem festivities Indonesia, Feb 21, 00
Most of the tuna catching activity in Indonesia has been on hold due the Ramadhan holidays last two weeks. The canned tuna production activity has just resumed and we have to wait till the first vessels return, say Jan 22 or Jan 23, to get some realistic feed back. Most of the packers here will welcome the idea of prices going back ( at least!) to USd 650 or USd 700 .They have based their first offers and price indications to stay on the safe side. It is still too early to speculate on what would be the catching itself by the end of January.

Fishing licenses up for renegociation  Indonesia, Feb 21, 00
For the reason explained above the fishermen have just resumed this week their activity ,consequently the situation still remains blurred. Tension on the skipjack was provoked by unexpected, but limited demand from the U.S market and Europe while catching was at his lowest during the holidays . However the demand still remains strong, but at then buyers want last November '99 rock bottom prices. Especially from Europe / Germany buyers are looking for quantities at prices, which are long gone. The combined pressure of the local market and export demands ends up pushing the price for skipjack in Jakarta to Idr 5500(abt US$ 730). It is said too most of the fishing licenses had expired last month and are being renegotiated between the fishing companies and government officials. A situation which could create upward pressure on prices, if this process of renewal of licenses was being delayed . This may be one of the reasons why Indonesia largest operating packer (in Bitung) is not offering at all currently.

Landings other tuna species  Indonesia, Feb 21, 00
Tongol species is still available, though in limited quantities, while Yellowfin is firm.Albacore landings as well as the stock are at their lowest but that is not unusual at this period of the year .

Political situation causes concern Indonesia, Feb 21, 00
Situation in general is tense in the Spices Islands especially in Ambon. There shoot at sight orders had been given to the local military command. The religious conflicts have spread around and up to the island of Lombok which is facing Bali. Despite the tensions the new government budget seems to please the international community. It is expected that the IMF is due to resume its financial assistance by early February

Skipjack moves to US$ 700/720 M/T Thailand, Feb 24, 00
In Bangkok the price level concluded in the last 2 weeks was  $700/720 p. M/T for 1.8kg skipjack. This price remains firm at this level and it looks likely to continue to do so for another 2-3 weeks. On the catching side, more yellowfin than skipjack is being caught in the Indian Ocean (about 70/30). Bangkok traders say the Eastern Pacific fishing is still good on both skipjack & yellowfin (50/50). From the Western Pacific we still have  no report on the returning of the boats. The rumour is being  spread over the market that catching was slow, which is actually not fully true. It is just that the catching volume is down, because less boats have sailed. The current sharp increasing of the petrol price, makes it hardly worth for them to put full efforts into the catching. Some vessels have remained in the harbour.

Tuna brokers project no price drop Thailand, Feb 24, 00
We should know more on the catching situation by the Taiwanese & Koreans in a week or two. On the demand side, it is very quiet everywhere almost a month ago, most thai packers are running out of orders and chasing for realistic bids everywhere, with not too much result so far.. With this situation, fish prices should be coming down, but it doesn't. Fish brokers claim that the demand from  EU packers are still very high, they are buying heavily. Therefor tuna brokers claim that the raw material price in Bangkok will not go down.

Others are puzzled Thailand, Feb 24, 00
At this stage, many people in the market feel that the fish price will be remain at $700 level for at least another 2 weeks. Some say it might then drop to $600/650 due to improved supply, and low prices from Ecuador. Others say it will jump to $750/800 by end half March. But both parties agree the the crucial factor will be the catching results of the Taiwanese & the Korean fleet in the Western Pacific.

Yellowfin down to $900 level Thailand, Feb 24, 00
The catching is said to be quite good, fish size is bigger. This has made prices fall to $900/950 from over $1,000 couple weeks ago, as a result of good   catching in both the Indian Ocean and Eastern Pacific. Expectations are that the price might remain low due to lack of demand.  Spanish and Italian  packers, together with the Japanese the 2 majors takers of yellowfin, are covered for at least another 2-3 months. TheJapanese  took only the big size fish not small ones.

Albacore season delayed Thailand, Feb 24, 00
Actually we should already have been in the Albacore catching season, but there is still no sign of any good catching anywhere. The main availability so far still from the Japanese & Taiwanese boats. The Japanese land frozen is very firm at $2,400, while the sea-frozen is at level $2500/2550. While the Taiwanese seafrozen is slight cheaper ($50/$100 cheaper). Albacore price can be soften in a week or two, or can be higher at any day, depend on the trace of theschool of fish.

Tongol coming back Thailand, Feb 24, 00
The Tongol catch is coming back, but the consistency is not there yet. If the situation in next 3-4 weeks willl remain as it is now, then the fish price might firm up. However it might not be a sharp increase.

Delayed shipments reported Europe, Feb 26, 00
The first reports about delayed canned tuna shipments from Thailand and the Philippines are coming in. This has led the last week already to some replacement buying by several importers and retailers. The cause of these delays does not lie in the shortage of shortage of raw material, but much more in the extremely low prices that has been paid for these contracts. Sometimes certain packers tend to wait till the last minute to obtain the best possible raw material prices to produce their rock bottom contract. At this moment the fish-prices are still rising, so some producers keep hoping for a price-drop, and do not buy + produce in the meantime. For many importers, of whom many have overbought, these delays delays are not always bad news. It helps some of them keep their inventories low, and spread their shipments over a longer period.

ACP offers keep market low Europe, Feb 26, 00
Low prices being quoted from especially Ecuador, with its ACP duty free status, keep the tuna market prices in Europe at a level, with which Asian packers are not able to compete. In some instances prices from Ecuador tend be about 10% lower (duty paid basis) than Asian offers. This keeps the market from moving up. Importers hoping to be able to make a good profit on their tuna stocks bought at Nov 99 rock bottom level, are disappointed by this trend.

Strong USDollar obstructs buying Europe, Feb 26, 00
The strength of the USdollar towards the EURO, has a strong influence on the buying decisions for new future tuna contracts. If buyers convert their buying price in their new sales price in Euro, or local currency they see a rise of up to 7% just due to the currency. If this is combined with new canned tuna prices of about 20% up from its lowest level, this results in total price rise of around 25%. Obviously wholesalers are no way ready to accept such price increases, thus keeping importers away from buying and taking a wait-n-see position. On the other hand this again creates better opportunities for countries like Senegal, Ivory Coast (mostly to the French market), and Madagascar, who are selling in French francs, and mostly aim at the French market.

Wholesale customers profit most Europe, Feb 26, 00
The tuna market at retail and wholesale maintains it's lowest level. Although the dollar has strengthened restaurants and institutional users keep getting the lowest prices ever.  Catering tuna in oil is being delivered to the door of the pizza parlor at US$ 22,75 p.case, whereas replacement prices at origin at this moment come out at US$ 24 CFR duty paid per 20ft container. Since most wholesalers and retailers have taken in more stocks and contracts then they can actually absorb, there is a strong pressure to sell  bigger volumes fast. So many promotions in all sectors can be expected, thus to prevent high financing and stocking charges.

Dolphin deaths bad news for Tuna biz  Europe, Feb 26, 00
Last week more than 200 dead dolphins washed ashore close to the French city of Bordeaux, of the French Atlantic coast. These mammals showed severe injuries, and some even had ropes, or parts of nets tangled on their tails. According to oceanic experts these dolphins have most likely become the victims of  nets which are used for the catching of anchovies and sea-barse. Dolphin tend to prey these species, and must have gotten tangled and drowned in the nets, during the hunt. It has almost become an automatic reaction by media and consumers, in case of dolphin deaths, to point the finger towards the tuna catching.  Also now this kind of media attention, is therefore bad news for the tuna industry, which has put already enormous efforts in limiting any dolphin kills.

Strong domestic tuna demand Indonesia, Feb 26, 00
Strong demand from the domestic Indonesian market combined with bad climatic conditions makes it very difficult for tuna packers to predict the raw material price trend. This has till now kept them from offering. packers are expected to finally come up with offers by this week, but they remain unsure what level to base themselves on.

Albacore + Tongol supply expected to improve Indonesia, Feb 26, 00
Tongol and albacore continue to come in with small quantities, with the Tongol being quite scarce at the moment due to poor catching in Bali and Jakarta. Fish traders expect a significant improvement in April.

Malukka situation curbs tuna production by 30% Indonesia, Feb 26, 00
The fish supply and combined production of tuna and shrimps is said to have dropped by as much as 30%, as effect of the religious and political conflicts on the Malukka Islands. The fighting between Christians and Moslems has resulted in about 200 fishing vessels moving out of the area. This has caused a serious drop in supply and exports.  This effect is getting larger then initially expected, and could eventually lead to increasing raw material prices.

Minimum Salary raised up to 54% Indonesia, Feb 26, 00
One of the measures of the new government lead by Mr. Wahid has been to raise the minimum wages. Effective from April 1st the minimum salary  in Indonesia has been raised from 15% to 54% depending on the area. As far as the tun production concerns the wages will increase in East Java by 20-30%, in Sulawsi 20%, and up to 40% in Irian Jaya. This brings per example the highest minimum salary in Jakarta up to the equivalent of USD 40/Month or USD 1,60/ Day.  The labor costs make up between 10-15% of the total production costs of a case of canned tuna.

Skipjack prices to US$ 700 M/T Philippines, Mar 06, 00
Despite their strong efforts to raise maintain the price at US$ 750 M/T for skipjack, catchers/ suppliers have been forced to lower their prices to US$ 700. One of the main reasons for this is that packers are not willing or able to accept a US$750 level. Demand from the side of European and U.S importers  remains still very low. Fishing conditions are according to fishermen still somewhat disappointing, which has motivated them to keep several tuna vessels in port in General Santos.

Fresh fish catches improved Philippines, Mar 06, 00
The catch of tuna in the coastal regions showed some improvement two weeks ago, although during the end last week catches started to decline again. This improved catch is not bringing the relief in frozen tuna prices, that the tuna packers are looking for. The price of the fresh fish is now quite low, but  the average size of the fish is only around 200 grams ( immature fish). This makes the material good for the households, but unfit for canning purposes. Most packers in the Philippines usually are able to process small fish, but then fish sizes are 500g up.

Possible take-over First Dom Group by San Miquel Philippines, Mar 06, 00
The rumors that First Dominion prime Holdings (First Dom), the major Philippine tuna producer , is about to be taken over by the Beer Company San Miquel Corporation are getting stronger every day. First Dom, which operates currently one factory in Manila, two in General Santos, and one in the United States  has experienced a weak financial position for the last two years. The shares of the group are in hands of several investors, and managed by the two brothers Dee. The company initially was determined to dominate the Philippine tuna trade. At some point in 1998 the group operated in total 5 tuna factories, but was later forced by disappointing sales and strong competition to re-structure its activities. During 1999 even a factory was set up in the USA, Philadelphia, which was aimed at re-packing frozen tuna loins into tuna cans.

San Miquel seeking expansion Philippines, Mar 06, 00
San Miquel Corporation (SMC)who is the largest beer company in Philippines, had a very good year in 1999 when its net income rose by 82% to PHP 6.02 billion (or US$ 147 million) on sales of PHP 75.6 billion. The company has announced it will pursue volume growth, and is looking for synergies with its current marketing and distribution network. SMC wants to expand itself in the food business, and could be possibly interested through an acquisition to expand also in the domestic tuna market. The local tuna market which in now dominated by the Century brand, is growing strongly, and this could be one of the interests of SMC to get into the tuna business. Its also said that SMC is viewing Sugarland ( a leading juice manufacturer) and up to 4  overseas companies a possible take-over candidates. The Philippine tuna industry plays a major role in the countries export volume. Sources say that SMC may be willing to pay as much as PHP 3 billion ( US$ 75 million) for the total First Dom group.

Heinz  signs joint venture Philippines, Mar 06, 00
The USA ketch-up and tuna producer H. J. Heinz / Starkist, announced that it has signed an agreement for a joint venture with the Philippines' leading ketchup producer, Nutri Asia of Manila, Philippines. The brands of Nutri-Asia are leading names in the Philippines' well-developed local ketchup category. This joint venture will provide an excellent platform for developing and expanding Heinz products in the Philippines,'' noted William R. Johnson, Heinz president and chief executive officer. Heinz's growth strategy is to globalize its core categories, such as ketchup and sauces, and to invest in businesses with strong number-one and number-two brands that bring economies of scale. We are excited that this line of leading Philippine sauce products now will enhance the Heinz portfolio of powerful international businesses. By investing in the Philippines at this time, Heinz is recognizing the growth potential of this vibrant economy in Asia, with a population of nearly 76 million people and a GDP expected to grow this year at 3 percent.'' It is interesting to see what initiatives Heinz-Star-Kist will take in the next two years within the Philippine tuna industry, which plays a major role in the United States Food service canned tuna market.  It would not be unlikely at all if San Miquel and Heinz would eventually even look for a joint venture together in the tuna and ketch-up business, in which they combine the know-how of Heinz with the distribution of San Miquel.

EU signs tuna fishing agreement Guinea (Atlantic) involving reduction tuna fishing Europe, Mar 08, 00
The European Union and the Republic of Guinea ( Africa, along southern Atlantic) recently initialled a new protocol to the Fisheries Agreement between the two parties for the period 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2001. This new protocol is based on the concept of the precautionary approach and sustainable fishing in the waters of Guinea. It contains provisions aiming to help Guinea in its efforts to decrease overall fishing effort and to strengthen monitoring and control in order to improve the deteriorating state of some fish stocks in the waters under its jurisdiction. There has been a substantial decrease in fishing possibilities for fish/cephalopods, from 4,000 to 2,500 GRT, due to the low rate of uptake of these possibilities and the poor state of these resources. There is a slight decrease in the number of tuna vessels from 74 to 68. These include 38 tuna seiners, 14 pole and line vessels and 16 surface longliners compared with 33, 13 and 28 respectively previously.

The EU financial compensation will amount to euro 2,960,000 per year. Almost half (euro 1,360,000) will be allocated to targeted measures aiming to promote scientific research, monitoring and control, support for artisanal fisheries, training facilities and support for participation by Guinea in Regional Fisheries Organisations. These measures will contribute to the joint endeavour to ensure sustainable fisheries. The reduction in the fishing effort of EU vessels will contribute to the reduction in the overall fishing effort in Guinean waters (3,000GRT) over the next two years. Guinea intends gradually to stop allocating private licences to vessels which do not operate under the same constraints as those fishing within the framework of Agreements.

To compensate Guinea for this fishing effort reduction, the EU has set up a premium of euro 370,000 per year. This premium aims to help strengthen the administrative and operational capacity of the monitoring, control and surveillance system of Guinea. This will help the national authorities in their efforts to deter illegal fishing activities by foreign fleets. In addition, Guinea will examine the introduction and development of satellite Vessel Monitoring System (VMS) for fishing vessels operating in its waters.

Ahold takes over U.S. Foodservice Europe, Mar 08, 00
The supermarket conglomerate Ahold, from the Netherlands, has acquired U.S. Foodservice for the sum of abt. 4 billion USdollars. This is the first time that Ahold invests in a Food-Service company in the U.S. Ahold has its own Food Service Deli XL activities in the Netherlands, where it a majority market share.   U.S. Foodservice is the 2nd largest food service supplier in the States after Sysco. They supply through 40 distribution centers, 13000 employees, about 140.000 customers with a product line of 40.000 different articles. U.S. Foodservice has an anual turnover of US$ 6.2 billion.  Its website handles currently about US$ 100 million of transactions, and Ahold expects this to rise to Us$ 530 million in the next years. Reason fro Ahold to invest in food service is that research has shown that the food service segment is growing twice as fast as the retail sector. Ahold gets now more then 505 of its trunover from US retail activities, and with a turnover of US$ 20,3 billion and 1063 stores, they are now the 4th largest food -supplier in the U.S.A.

President wants dollar as national currency Ecuador, Mar 08, 00
The Ecuadorian President Jamil Mahuad, who recently fired his entire cabinet, has introduced the plan to replace the local currency, sucre, with the USdollar as the national currency. Out of protest against this plan the President of the Ecuadorian Central bank, Pablo Better, resigned. The plan is that Ecuadorian citizens can exchange 25000 sucres for 1 dollar, and to have the sucre disappear entirely. This moves imposes a big danger for the weakened Ecuadorian banks, and the companies they support. If Ecuador is dollarized, the government no longer has the option available in case of emergency  to support its national banks with an extra liquidity injection.

100% interest rates hurts packers & fishermen Ecuador, Mar 08, 00
Ecuador faces the worst economic crisis since 1929, and is in no position to pay any of its foreign debts. The sucre has lost 70% of its value against the dollar the last year, and there is no sign of recovery yet. January 7th the sucre devaluated 17% in one day ! The inflation is now abt 60% annually, and bank charge interest rates around 100%. This situation blocks any possibility for economic growth and makes the banana export business for Ecuador of enormous importance. The IMF has reacted positively on the plan of the dollarization of Ecuador. The Ecuadorian government and the IMF were negotiating about an extra loan of US$ 200 million, to create a turnaround in the current catch 22 situation. For the tuna business this creates also great difficulties. Packers have no possibility to obtain loans from banks, and the financing of stocks creates great difficulties. The importance of the export of tuna to obtain hard currency has only grown further.

Good catches could trigger price-fall again Ecuador, Mar 08, 00
Now that the IATTC ban on the catch of tuna, is lifted, small boats have gone out fishing for skipjack in the coastal waters of Ecuador. First reports are that catches are quite good, and that fish is again abundant in the waters of Ecuador. The boats with larger catching capacity have not returned yet, but its is expected that they also will enjoy good catches of skipjack and yellowfin. Currently the price for landed frozen skipjack i
s arnd US$ 550 per M/T. Although prices show an upward trend, it is likely that as  good catches continue through January, prices are likely to come down again. It is said that packers still have good stock levels. So fisherman in their search for hard currency,  again might be forced to accept very low prices for their skipjack. Through 1999 the economic situation in Ecuador in combination with very good catches, triggered a global fall in raw material prices for frozen skipjack. The question is..... will it happen again ?

Fisherman to sea again Ecuador, Mar 08, 00
The IATTC ban on the floating object fishing on under-sized skipjack and yellowfin in the waters of Ecuador has been lifted by the turn of the century. Fisherman have gone out to sea again and are finding that the Ecuadorian waters are abundant with skipjack. The outlook of good catches in the coming month(s) in combination with a disastrous economic situation raises worries about the effect on raw material prices, also in a global sense.

Bitung factories face stagnation fish supply Indonesia, Mar 13, 00
While frozen skipjack material remains between US$ 650-720 level, the 2 major tuna factories in Bitung are facing a stagnation in the supply of frozen skipjack and small yellowfin. Besides the fact that the raw material supply is already traditionallylower in Jan/ Feb. in this area, now also the ethnical riots in the Eastern part of Indonesia have their effect. Packers in Bitung rely for an important part (between 20-40%) of their frozen skipjack supply on this region. According to sources there is hardly any fishing   going on in eastern Indonesia anymore.

New regulations for fishing licenses Indonesia, Mar 13, 00
The Indo government will apply new fishing licensing regulations in order to curb illegal fishing in Indonesian waters. Illegal fishing in Indonesia has been estimated at US$ 4 billions in loss in revenue, while it is said that the Indonesian earns US$ 2.2 billions from the fishing sector.  This would mean that abt 60% of all the fish caught in Indonesian waters is not obtained in a legal way.  This new licensing program which is due to be completed within 4 months will be accompanied by some financial package to facilitate the procurement of fishing vessels. In the past subsidies and support programs to expand the tuna fishing fleet have often lead to total failure. Often the funds ended up in the wrong pockets. Boats were build, but never sailed,  due to lack of know-how on tuna catching, fishing and sailing techniques with the local population.  During the past few weeks more and more illegal fishermen were caught in the Indonesian waters by the coast guard.

Piracy Increases Indonesia, Mar 13, 00
A three day meeting organized by the Japan Maritime Safety Agency has agreed to organize a larger conference by the end of the month to tackle the problem of increasing piracy and armed robbery against Japanese ships in Indonesian waters. Not only Japanese vessels are facing this problem, also other foreign flag and even local vessels experience this problem of raids on the open sea by heavily armed pirates with fast speed boats. The unrest in Eastern Indonesian region has only made things worse. Crew of fishing vessels also refuse to go ashore, or are being attacked when bunkering. The Indonesian government has invited Japanese boats to patrol the Indonesian waters for better protection of the Japanese vessels.

Albacore still short Indonesia, Mar 13, 00
With the Tongol and yellowfin catches also being limited but still on-going, the Indonesian fisherman expect to have better results catching albacore from beginning of April onwards. Therefor albacore remains short and prices firm.

Rupiah softer Indonesia, Mar 13, 00
Despite various attempts by the Indonesian Government to try to lift the to IDR 7200 to the Dollar, the exchange rate slightly further softened to the level of IDR 7500 / US$ (-5%). It is general understanding that the relative political instability of the country has a negative effect on the way the Rupiah is valued. Packers buy most of their fish in Rupiah, however tin-plate  needs to be imported, and is subject to world market prices. In the end a weaker Rupiah could mean a more competitive position for the Indonesian tuna trade.

Minimum Salary raised up to 54% Indonesia, Mar 13, 00
One of the measures of the new government lead by Mr. Wahid has been to raise the minimum wages. Effective from April 1st the minimum salary  in Indonesia has been raised from 15% to 54% depending on the area. As far as the tun production concerns the wages will increase in East Java by 20-30%, in Sulawsi 20%, and up to 40% in Irian Jaya. This brings per example the highest minimum salary in Jakarta up to the equivalent of USD 40/Month or USD 1,60/ Day.  The labor costs make up between 10-15% of the total production costs of a case of canned tuna.

Skipjack prices hold around $700 p. M/T Philippines, Mar 13, 00
Despite some weakening of the frozen skipajck prices in Bangkok the fisherman in Philippines are  frim on the level of US$ 700-680 per ton. Ther have been reports of rpices below the level of US$ 680 landed General Santos, but the quality of this fish is considered inferior for product aimed at the U.S and most European markets. Packer might use this product for lower specs markets such as Germany, where quality demands a less high then export markets as U.K. and Scandinavia. The question is if the current prices are the result of limited catches or just limited catching activity?

Lenten season more competition fresh fish Philippines, Mar 13, 00
One of the reasons that frozen skipjack prices 1-1.8kg in the Philippines remains at the level of US$ 700 p. M/T is that the domestic fresh tuna supply (200 -300 grams size) is quite inconsistent, and that packers are not able to compete with the prices the fresh domestic market is willing to pay. The quality of the fresh fish is quite good, although the size is really not fit for efficient canning. The coming lenten season, with increased fresh domestic consumption may even result in more competition.

Tuna boats used as freezers Philippines, Mar 13, 00
Some fisherman tend to be so insistent and confident on the price of US$ 700 for frozen skipjack that they prefer to keep their boats in the G.S. harbour filled with fish waiting for packers to meet their price of US$ 700, instead of unloading their cargo and putting it in on land facilities. Others are currently still holding their boats in port for repairs.

First Dom - San Miquel deal pending Philippines, Mar 13, 00
The discussions between First Dominion prime Holdings (First Dom), the major Philippine tuna producer , and the Beer Company San Miquel Corporation are said to be still ongoing. factories have been audited by representatives of San Miquel but no further news has surfaced about this possible deal. First Dom, which operates currently one factory in Manila, two in General Santos, and one in the United States  has been looking to sell off the company for  some time. San Miquel who wants to expand itself in the food business, would make an excellent party, giving it possibilities to grow in the domestic tuna market.  Sources say that SMC may be willing to pay as much as PHP 3 billion ( US$ 75 million) for the total First Dom group.

RFM / Psi technology listed at Nasdaq Philippines, Mar 13, 00
RFM the majority shareholder of the tuna canner RFM/SWIFT has brought is technology and elcetronics arm Psi technology holdings to teh Nasdaq. It is the first philippine technology company to do so. Among Psi clients are Motorola, Texas Instruments and Hewlett Packard.

Possible "jihad" threathens Northern Mindanao Philippines, Mar 13, 00
There are fears thatongoing conflicts between the separatistMoro islamic Liberation Front (MILF) and the government might escalate to a "holy" war between M8uslims and christians in the Northern part of Mindanao. The past two weeks we have seen continious fighting between the government froces and the MILF, causing some residents to flee their homes. General Santos, the major tuna harbour is located in thre South of Mindanao, and not directly effected by these conflicts, although people follow this situation very closely.

Ecuadorian canners switch more to loins Ecuador, Mar 28, 00
Forced by the very slow demand from especially the european canned tuna market, the majority of the ecuadorian tuna canners have switched more of their production capacity to loining. Demand from Spain and also Italy for frozen skipjack and also yellowfin loins is good, and provides currently better opputunities for packers then the very depressed canned export market in Europe. Even though packers have the best prices for canned tuna they are not able to attract any new business which offer them a margin.

Catches continue to be good Ecuador, Mar 28, 00
The catches of skipjack are reported to be quite good of the coast of ecuador and in the Eastern Pacific ocean. Packers are paying for raw material prices from US$500 to US$ 550 landed for whole round skipjack 1.8kg up. Abt 2 weeks ago prices moved up after one U.S. owned cannery in Ecuador started bidding higher prices in order to obtain skipjack raw material, however when this demand disappeared prices relaxed again to a lower level.

Business to U.S. market slowly picking up Indonesia, Mar 28, 00
Limited volume buying by several U.S. importers have given 2-3 Indonesian packers a possibility to buy some raw material again. Prices to the U.S have softened by abt. 2-3% the last two weeks.  Part of this pressure comes from the weakening skipjack prices in Bangkok.  European importers have still been very inactive in the Indonesian market, but this might chance when the  increased interest from the U.S.A will continue.

Catching resumes around Ambon Indonesia, Mar 28, 00
The political unrest and riots at the island of Ambon and the Moluccas seem to be have eased a bit. According to sources fishing activity has resumed during last week and we expect to see a result in the increased supply during the next 2-3 weeks. Those who have been out fishing have reported good catches, prices of skipjack still vary strongly from US$ 680 to US$ 800 p. M/T depending on the local demand in each area and the landing location. If the situation at the Moluccas returns to normal level a slight improvement of prices can be expected.

Thai trawlers intrude Indonesian waters Indonesia, Mar 28, 00
The Indonesian media has been focussing quite some attention on the presence of Thai trawlers in Indonesian waters. These trawlers are accused of fishing illegally in the Java and Maduro Seas without the proper licenses, and flying the Indonesian flag. The fishing activity of these vessels, with over 1000 m/t of capacity, seem to have had a devastating impact on the fish stocks available to local fishing communities. The lenient role of the Indonesian Navy in this matter is being seriously questioned and some violent demonstrations in some coastal areas have been reported.

Albacore packers consider import Indonesia, Mar 28, 00
The Albacore season has still not started in Indonesia, and further delays in the supply are expected. The supply is so problematic that traditional Albacore packers are seriously considering to import frozen whole albacore (white tuna) at prices as high as US$ 2450 p. M/T in order to honor their early contracts for April / May deliveries. The expectation is that we might see a late and long albacore season from April till August. The depressed supply of Albacore has already led to price increases over the last month.

Yellowfin supply limited Indonesia, Mar 28, 00
Although prices for yellowfin remain well over US$ 900 p.M/T and the supply remains limited there is still enough demand for Food service sizes from Japan and the States. Prices are abt US$ 4 - 7 higher per case of 6 x 66,5oz  compared to skipjack.

Tongol good demand Indonesia, Mar 28, 00
Considering that we are currently in the low season for Tongol tuna, the supply is in balance with the present demand from the States. Prices for canned Tongol food service size are generally 10% -15% higher then yellowfin prices.

German Importers facing high stocks catering tuna Europe, Mar 29, 00
The several German importers who have bought large volume of especially catering tuna during period November till December 2000, are facing now a situation where they are confronted with high stock levels. Importers report that with the demand almost being dead, and the supply being good they are getting much more tuna into their stock then they can move. There are basically two reasons for this: Firstly importers speculated when they bought ever-low prices, on delayed shipments from especially Philippines, due to difficulties with packers of fulfilling their contracts. This has happened many times in the past before. However this time packers are quite well on schedule, which creates a higher then expected supply. Secondly many smaller  importers have also jumped into the tuna market at rock bottom prices end of 1999, with larger then usual volumes. These smaller importers are now also feeling the pressure of disappointing demand, and are almost desperately trying to eliminate their stocks.

Ex-stock prices fall further below replacement levels Europe, Mar 29, 00
The very slow demand in especially Germany, the slow up-take of contracts by whole-sales prices and the build up of stocks in Hamburg storage's of especially food-service tuna has resulted in price-levels that are well below prices quoted from origin. Especially smaller importers have cut prices to a level which is based on their original buying price (Nov. '99) level, plus a small margin. Effectively this means that some smaller importers are selling at prices which are on CFR basis sometimes as much as 15% ($ basis) below today's quotation from Philippine tuna packers. The high stock levels in combination with these low ex-stock prices have killed demand and also confidence with buyers.

USdollar - Euro rate remains a problem Europe, Mar 29, 00
The strength of the USdollar towards the EURO, continues to be a burden for those trying to sell tuna bought in dollars. With the Euro being 0.958 USdollar (march 29th), distributors who usually do not cover their currency   ahead of time the buying decisions for new future tuna contracts. If buyers convert their USdollar (original) buying price for their today's sales price in EURO, their sales prices in the local currency will be at least 10% higher compared to December 1999. If prices are calculated at actual replacement levels we see a rise of as much as 25% compared to EURO prices in November/ December 1999. This partly explains why most European importers continue to bid at very low prices, in case they would be interested to buy at all. U.K. importers who sell in GBP - which is not part of the EMU - are not so much effected by this trend. because GBP and US$ move pretty much in line with eachother.

Spanish canners have low costprices Europe, Mar 29, 00
Due to the fact that many Spanish packers have been able to buy frozen cooked skipjack loins at very low prices from especially South - America, they have been able to offer at very low prices to the European retailers. With catches being good in the Eastern Pacific for the last 6 months and with whole round frozen skipjack prices in Ecuador being historically low, Spanish tuna packers who re-pack imported frozen cooked loins in tins have currently a much better cost-price then their competitors in Asia. Contracts for frozen cooked loins are often made for 2-3 month periods, and give packers more stability in cost-price usually then being faced with strongly fluctuating raw fish prices. With prices for frozen loins ex- S-America (Ecuador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Mexico) being still very competitive, it is not economical anymore for canned tuna packers to buy whole round fish and clean it in their factory in Spain.

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